lemma 4
Uniform-in-time Propagation-of-Chaos for Stein Variational Gradient Descent
Balasubramanian, Krishnakumar, Banerjee, Sayan, Korba, Anna
We study uniform-in-time propagation-of-chaos for continuous-time Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD). Classical finite-time propagation-of-chaos estimates for mean-field systems typically deteriorate rapidly with time and therefore do not directly explain the long-time relation between the finite-particle system and its mean-field limit. We obtain two complementary classes of uniform-in-time propagation-of-chaos results. For broad distributional metrics, we introduce a cutoff strategy which combines finite-time propagation-of-chaos estimates up to an $N$-dependent horizon with independent quantitative long-time convergence estimates for the finite-particle and mean-field SVGD flows. This yields uniform-in-averaging-time propagation-of-chaos bounds in Langevin kernel Stein discrepancy, Wasserstein-1 distance, and Wasserstein-2 distance, with logarithmic or iterated-logarithmic rates depending on the metric, target and kernel class. We also develop a finite-dimensional theory for matrix-valued finite-rank kernels. For Gaussian targets with bilinear kernels, the SVGD dynamics close exactly on first and second moments, yielding genuine uniform-in-physical-time parametric propagation-of-chaos rates in finite-dimensional Stein-feature metrics. We then prove a conjugacy principle showing that these feature-level estimates transfer to conjugate target-kernel pairs under orientation-preserving diffeomorphisms, thereby extending the theory to broad classes of nonlinear, including multimodal, targets. Together, these results highlight the contrast between generic distributional metrics, for which our general approach yields logarithmic rates, and closed finite-dimensional Stein observables, for which parametric $N^{-1/2}$ propagation-of-chaos rates persist uniformly in time.
When Is a Draft Accepted? A Theory of Acceptance in Speculative Decoding
Speculative decoding accelerates language model inference by using a fast drafter to propose candidate tokens that are then verified by a larger target model. Existing theory largely studies the stochastic, distribution-preserving setting, where the goal is to exactly sample from the target distribution. In contrast, many practical systems use greedy decoding, relaxed acceptance rules, or tree-based candidate sets, where success is governed by local ranking and threshold events rather than exact distributional equality. We develop a theory for these regimes. We identify that many common acceptance criteria have rejection regions that can be characterized as lower level sets of the target distribution. For these, we characterize the exact KL divergence required for rejection yielding exact certificates and sharp margin-based bounds for strict greedy decoding, additive and multiplicative relaxed acceptance, top-(m) relaxed criteria, and entropy-thresholded acceptance. We then extend the framework to greedy tree decoding, deriving exact and margin-only certificates for when the target greedy token remains covered by the drafter's top-(m) candidates. Finally, we evaluate the resulting certificates on Qwen3 models, showing that relaxed and tree-based criteria substantially enlarge the region of certified acceptance, especially on decoding steps with low target model distribution margin. These results complement existing distribution-preserving analyses of speculative decoding by characterizing the deterministic local acceptance events common in practical inference systems.
Non-parametric recovery of causal diffusion mechanisms from steady-state observations
Schwank, Richard, Drton, Mathias
We consider sparse multivariate stochastic systems that evolve in continuous time according to a causal mechanism and present methodology to recover the system's time-infinitesimal transition mechanism from mere cross-sectional data. This observational paradigm is motivated by applications such as gene expression analysis, where destructive experimental techniques may only allow recording data once over a cell's lifetime. Precisely, we assume the system follows a time-homogeneous diffusion process that has reached an equilibrium distribution at observation time. Further, we assume the causal mechanism is fully described by the diffusion drift, is acyclic, and its causal structure graph is known. In this setting, we prove that the full causal mechanism, i.e., the drift function, can be non-parametrically identified under a weak non-explosion criterion. We derive a non-parametric kernel estimator for this challenging inverse problem and prove its consistency. Moreover, we propose a cross-validation scheme for hyperparameter tuning, illustrate the behavior of our estimator in simulations, and we discuss connections with irreversible generative diffusion models and low-frequency sampled data.
Sample Complexity of Scientific Discovery: PAC Learnability of Compositional Function Trees
Kocabay, Şuayp Talha, Akkuş, Talha Rüzgar, Yalçın, Kerem
Scientific discovery via symbolic regression is often viewed as statistically and computationally intractable because the hypothesis space of expressions grows combinatorially with depth. This paper revisits the statistical side through the lens of PAC learning, focusing on compositional function trees built from a finite vocabulary of smooth operators (e.g., $\{+,\times,\sin,\exp\}$ and affine maps). We prove that the relevant generalization quantity, Rademacher complexity, hence the excess risk, does not necessarily blow up exponentially with the number of distinct symbolic structures, but is controlled by (i) the depth $d$ and (ii) the Lipschitz constants of the base operators along the composed computation graph. Concretely, under mild Lipschitz conditions on operators and bounded affine leaves, a finite-union bound over a vocabulary of size $K=|\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{base}}|$ together with Maurer-type vector contraction yields $\mathfrak{R}_n(\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{comp}}^{d}) \leq (Kb\sqrt{2}L)^{d-1}\mathfrak{R}_n(\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{comp}}^{1})$ with arity bound $b$; corresponding high-probability risk bounds scale as $\mathcal{O}(L^{d}/\sqrt{n})$ when $K,b=O(1)$ and $\mathfrak{R}_n(\mathcal{H}_{\mathrm{comp}}^{1})=O(n^{-1/2})$. We complement the theory with a modular codebase that trains differentiable operator trees (not MLPs) on synthetic "physics-like" targets of controlled depth and shows that the empirical generalization gap correlates positively with the predicted complexity term $(\widehat{L}^{d})/\sqrt{n}$.
Fast algorithms for learning a Gaussian under halfspace truncation with optimal sample complexity
Liu, Haitong, Sridharan, Deepak Narayanan, Steurer, David, Wiedmer, Manuel
We study the fundamental problem of learning a high-dimensional Gaussian truncated to an unknown halfspace. Lee, Mehrotra and Zampetakis (FOCS'24) recently obtained the first polynomial time algorithm for this problem, but their resulting sample and time complexity bounds are not optimal. Under non-trivial truncation, for any target accuracy $\varepsilon > 0$ and dimension $d$ we give an efficient algorithm that uses $n = \tilde{O}(d^2/\varepsilon^2)$ samples and learns the underlying Gaussian to error $\varepsilon$ in total variation distance. Our algorithm is also fast: its runtime is dominated by the cost of computing the empirical covariance matrix. Both our sample and time complexity are optimal in terms of $d$ and $\varepsilon$ even without truncation: in this regard, we can learn a Gaussian under halfspace truncation for free. The key ingredient behind our result is a novel reinterpretation of the low-degree moments of the truncated Gaussian in terms of a relative truncation parameter. This relative truncation parameter uniquely determines the parameters of the untruncated Gaussian and enables direct parameter recovery. This reinterpretation allows us to circumvent the time intensive projected stochastic gradient descent procedure that is widely used in learning under truncation.
Asymptotic Signal Subspace Recovery in Softmax Attention Models
Attention mechanisms have demonstrated remarkable empirical success in identifying relevant information from large collections of tokens, yet the theoretical principles underlying this behavior remain poorly understood. We study a stylized softmax-attention model in which a query vector is learned by stochastic gradient ascent from a collection of informative and nuisance tokens. Exploiting the symmetry of the model, we derive a population objective and characterize the limiting ordinary differential equation governing the learning dynamics. Using tools from stochastic approximation and dynamical systems theory, we establish a rigorous connection between the stochastic learning algorithm and its deterministic limit. Our main result shows that, under suitable high-dimensional scaling assumptions and standard step-size conditions, the learned query converges almost surely to the one-dimensional signal subspace spanned by the latent informative direction. Equivalently, the query asymptotically recovers the latent signal up to the intrinsic sign ambiguity. These results provide a rigorous theoretical foundation for understanding attention mechanisms as signal extraction procedures in high-dimensional noisy environments and offer a dynamical-systems perspective on how attention discovers relevant information in the presence of substantial noise.
ffab50f3cad7cb5733ca324e5be20976-Paper-Conference.pdf
The capacity of deep learning models is often large enough to both learn the underlying statistical signal and overfit to noise in the training set. This noise memorization can be harmful especially for data with a low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), leading to poor generalization. Inspired by prior observations that label noise provides implicit regularization that improves generalization, in this work, we investigate whether introducing label noise to the gradient updates can enhance the test performance of neural network (NN) in the low SNR regime. Specifically, we consider training a two-layer NN with a simple label noise gradient descent (GD) algorithm, in an idealized signal-noise data setting. We prove that adding label noise during training suppresses noise memorization, preventing it from dominating the learning process; consequently, label noise GD enjoys rapid signal growth while the overfitting remains controlled, thereby achieving good generalization despite the low SNR. In contrast, we also show that NN trained with standard GD tends to overfit to noise in the same low SNR setting and establish a non-vanishing lower bound on its test error, thus demonstrating the benefit of introducing label noise in gradient-based training.
Mitigating Privacy-Utility Trade-off in Decentralized Federated Learning via f-Differential Privacy
Differentially private (DP) decentralized Federated Learning (FL) allows local users to collaborate without sharing their data with a central server. However, accurately quantifying the privacy budget of private FL algorithms is challenging due to the co-existence of complex algorithmic components such as decentralized communication and local updates.
When Lower-Order Terms Dominate: Adaptive Expert Algorithms for Heavy-Tailed Losses
We consider the problem setting of prediction with expert advice with possibly heavy-tailed losses, i.e. the only assumption on the losses is an upper bound on their second moments, denoted by θ. We develop adaptive algorithms that do not require any prior knowledge about the range or the second moment of the losses. Existing adaptive algorithms have what is typically considered a lower-order term in their regret guarantees. We show that this lower-order term, which is often the maximum of the losses, can actually dominate the regret bound in our setting. Specifically, we show that even with small constant θ, this lower-order term can scale as KT, where K is the number of experts and T is the time horizon. We propose adaptive algorithms with improved regret bounds that avoid the dependence on such a lower-order term and guarantee O( p θT log(K)) regret in the worst case, and O(θlog(KT)/ min) regret when the losses are sampled i.i.d.
Minimum Width for Deep, Narrow MLP: A Diffeomorphism Approach
Recently, there has been a growing focus on determining the minimum width requirements for achieving the universal approximation property in deep, narrow Multi-Layer Perceptrons (MLPs). Among these challenges, one particularly challenging task is approximating a continuous function under the uniform norm, as indicated by the significant disparity between its lower and upper bounds. To address this problem, we propose a framework that simplifies finding the minimum width for deep, narrow MLPs into determining a purely geometrical function denoted as w(dx,dy). This function relies solely on the input and output dimensions, represented as dx and dy, respectively. To achieve this, we first demonstrate that deep, narrow MLPs, when provided with a small additional width, can approximate any C2-diffeomorphism. Subsequently, using this result, we prove that w(dx,dy) equates to the optimal minimum width required for deep, narrow MLPs to achieve universality. By employing the aforementioned framework and the Whitney embedding theorem, we provide an upper bound for the minimum width, given by max(2dx +1,dy)+α(σ), where 0 α(σ) 2represents a constant depending explicitly on the activation function. Furthermore, we provide novel optimal values for the minimum width in several settings, including w(2,2) = w(2,3) = 4.